Telstar 2-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 3 Nov 2024

Telstar
2-2 HT 1-1
Volendam
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Telstar vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.7
X/2
11%
5.92
X/X
10%
5.7
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
11%
3.52
2/X
10%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.36/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.40
+3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.6 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Telstar vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Volendam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.44 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.01.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-1 HT 2-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
15.10.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-5 HT 1-4 Volendam Volendam HOL2
25.04.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
30.08.2020 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
14.02.2020 Volendam Volendam 1-1 HT 1-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
20.09.2019 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2

Telstar 2-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2-2
AWAY Volendam
1.65 xG 2.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
288 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 32
24 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Volendam couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Telstar had 49% of the ball to Volendam's 51%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.65 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Telstar and 2.33 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Volendam?

Telstar 2-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Telstar 42%, draw 27%, Volendam 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telstar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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