Carrick Rangers 1-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 28% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
10.7
1/2
7%
22.3
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
7%
13.5
X/2
15%
3.57
X/X
13%
6.31
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
1.76
2/X
7%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
50%
Away Win
65%
-15.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 70%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.02/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.73
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Linfield FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
03.12.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
28.08.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC saw off Carrick Rangers 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.00 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Linfield FC?

Carrick Rangers 1-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 26%, draw 25%, Linfield FC 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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