Linfield FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.92
2-3 Goals
40%
2.06
4-5 Goals
28%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
28.0
X/1
17%
3.44
X/2
5%
26.0
X/X
8%
9.95
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
7%
19.5
2/X
5%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
77%
-15.4pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.0pp
18%
Away Win
8%
+9.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
3.18/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.57
+23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
26.08.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-3 HT 2-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
18.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
03.12.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
28.08.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-1 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
04.03.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC nicked a narrow win over Carrick Rangers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Linfield FC and 1.33 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield FC 1-0 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 62%, draw 20%, Carrick Rangers 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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