Crusaders FC 0-3 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.0
X/1
20%
3.68
X/2
9%
12.25
X/X
13%
6.02
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
7%
9.6
2/X
8%
17.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.65
-5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KILK
18.03.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.10.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
23.08.2022 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
25.01.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
30.11.2021 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC cruised past Crusaders FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC?

Crusaders FC 0-3 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 51%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Crusaders FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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