Coleraine FC 2-0 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.35
X/1
18%
3.82
X/2
8%
11.9
X/X
9%
6.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.65
2/2
9%
8.7
2/X
8%
16.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.00
-10% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Loughgall FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
09.12.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
11.08.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC beat Loughgall FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Coleraine FC and 2.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Loughgall FC?

Coleraine FC 2-0 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 54%, draw 24%, Loughgall FC 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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