Glenavon FC 1-1 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.84
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
9%
5.96
X/2
9%
5.39
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.34
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.45/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.55
+5% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glenavon FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-0 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
09.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
09.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
21.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC and Dungannon Swifts shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Glenavon FC and 1.33 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Glenavon FC 1-1 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 37%, draw 25%, Dungannon Swifts 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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