Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
7%
8.88
X/X
12%
5.71
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
10%
6.3
2/X
5%
14.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.79
+40% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Glenavon FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
04.11.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
09.09.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 3-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
21.01.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
26.11.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-0 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dungannon Swifts
2-0
AWAY Glenavon FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Glenavon FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dungannon Swifts had 45% of the ball to Glenavon FC's 55%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 1.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Dungannon Swifts 2-0 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 51%, draw 26%, Glenavon FC 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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