Ballymena United 4-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Ballymena United
4-0 HT 2-0
Newry City AFC
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.24
X/2
11%
8.4
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
15%
6.14
2/X
4%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballymena United v Newry City AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.26/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.68
-27% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.9

Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Newry City AFC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
08.12.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
07.10.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
22.04.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
24.01.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
08.11.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL

Ballymena United 4-0 Newry City AFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ballymena United
4-0
AWAY Newry City AFC
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United cruised past Newry City AFC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ballymena United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Ballymena United had 51% of the ball to Newry City AFC's 49%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.33 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC?

Ballymena United 4-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 42%, draw 25%, Newry City AFC 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballymena United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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