Carrick Rangers 2-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 33% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.81
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
12.05
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
13%
7.47
X/X
17%
4.46
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.26
2/X
4%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.20/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.03
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Loughgall FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-3 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
02.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-2 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
07.10.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-4 HT 1-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
2-1
AWAY Loughgall FC
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers nicked a narrow win over Loughgall FC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carrick Rangers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 37% of the ball to Loughgall FC's 63%, shots finished 3-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Carrick Rangers and 2.67 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Loughgall FC?

Carrick Rangers 2-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 42%, draw 25%, Loughgall FC 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrick Rangers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
20 Apr 2024
17:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Glenavon FC Analysis →
17:00 Ballymena United vs Newry City AFC Analysis →
17:00 Cliftonville vs Glentoran FC Analysis →
17:00 Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →