Coleraine FC 0-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 28% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.45
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
5%
6.8
X/2
10%
5.02
X/X
16%
5.18
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
25%
2.91
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.27/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.44
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC got the better of Coleraine FC 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Crusaders FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC?

Coleraine FC 0-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 32%, draw 27%, Crusaders FC 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ BTTS No
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