Crusaders FC 1-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.73
No
59%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 32% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.18
X/2
10%
8.16
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
13%
6.07
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.8pp
59%
BTTS No
46%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.82
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
09.12.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
08.11.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
1-1
AWAY Coleraine FC
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 4
7 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC and Coleraine FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Crusaders FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 58% of the ball to Coleraine FC's 42%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Crusaders FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Crusaders FC 1-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 45%, draw 26%, Coleraine FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crusaders FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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