Larne FC 6-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.15
Over 2.5
42%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 29% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.69
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.55
X/1
13%
3.5
X/2
10%
14.45
X/X
14%
6.74
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
7%
11.45
2/X
6%
20.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
43%
+15.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
57%
-15.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.10/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.36
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Glenavon FC
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 5-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRK
08.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
30.09.2023 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
02.12.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.08.2022 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Larne FC
6-1
AWAY Glenavon FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC cruised past Glenavon FC 6-1. Half-time: 5-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Larne FC had 49% of the ball to Glenavon FC's 51%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Larne FC 6-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 54%, draw 25%, Glenavon FC 21%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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