Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.5
No
58%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
8%
7.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 33% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.76
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.31
X/2
21%
4.77
X/X
13%
5.67
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
14%
2.64
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
62%
-20.6pp
58%
BTTS No
38%
+20.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.56/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.13
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-2 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
16.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 5-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
05.11.2022 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
23.08.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
12.03.2022 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0-3
AWAY Glentoran FC
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC cruised past Dungannon Swifts 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Glentoran FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dungannon Swifts had 50% of the ball to Glentoran FC's 50%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 2.17 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Dungannon Swifts 0-3 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 28%, draw 28%, Glentoran FC 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glentoran FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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