Ballymena United 3-2 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.83
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
9%
7.9
X/2
9%
4.27
X/X
12%
5.07
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.49
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-10.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.00/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.10
-18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.01.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.12.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
23.09.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
28.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 2-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
03.12.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 4-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
23.08.2022 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-2 HT 1-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United nicked a narrow win over Cliftonville 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Ballymena United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 2.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Ballymena United 3-2 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 34%, draw 27%, Cliftonville 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ BTTS No
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