Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Nov 2024

Aguilas Doradas
0-1
Deportes Tolima
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.13/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.19
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.9 Crosses 12.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2

Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.74 xG 1.32
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
03.12.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
19.11.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-4 HT 0-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.02.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 4-2 HT 3-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
02.10.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
10.04.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
0-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
311 Passes 315
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima edged past Aguilas Doradas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 50% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 50%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 2.17 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

Aguilas Doradas 0-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 32%, draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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