Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
0-4
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
4-2
HT 3-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Aguilas Doradas 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 52% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.30 to 0.44.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas?
Deportes Tolima 2-1 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 43%, draw 28%, Aguilas Doradas 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.