Deportivo Cali 1-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.03/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.00
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.5 Crosses 13.9
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
1W-2D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
224 Passes 284
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
11.09.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
01.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 5-2 HT 3-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
27.03.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
10.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
05.09.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.41 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
304 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali and America de Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 53% of the ball to America de Cali's 47%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.41 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.67 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali?

Deportivo Cali 1-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 29%, draw 26%, America de Cali 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (America de Cali), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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