FA Siauliai II 1-3 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

FA Siauliai II
1-3
BFA
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

FA Siauliai II vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
70%
-20.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.0pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FA Siauliai II v BFA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
3.79/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.59
+73% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

FA Siauliai II vs BFA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY BFA
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.06.2024 BFA BFA 7-0 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
05.11.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 4-2 BFA BFA LIT1
25.06.2023 BFA BFA 2-1 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
18.09.2022 BFA BFA 5-1 HT 3-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
21.05.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-3 HT 0-1 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai II vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFA beat FA Siauliai II 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for FA Siauliai II and 3.80 for BFA.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai II vs BFA?

FA Siauliai II 1-3 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai II vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai II 50%, draw 24%, BFA 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FA Siauliai II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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