Hegelmann II 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.3pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 53%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
0.82/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.84
-40% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
14.06.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 HT 2-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann II
2-1
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II nicked a narrow win over Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Neptüna Klaipeda at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Hegelmann II had 45% of the ball to Neptüna Klaipeda's 55%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Hegelmann II 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 32%, draw 24%, Neptüna Klaipeda 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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