Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.14
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
16%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-14.7pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
2.42/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda ran out comfortable winners over Hegelmann II 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Hegelmann II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 65%, draw 19%, Hegelmann II 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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