Garliava 1-2 Panevezys II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

Garliava
1-2 HT 0-1
Panevezys II
📅14/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Garliava vs Panevezys II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.7pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Garliava v Panevezys II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.88/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.76
-44% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Garliava vs Panevezys II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Panevezys II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Garliava Garliava 1-0 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
04.06.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-3 HT 0-1 Garliava Garliava LIT1
28.10.2022 Garliava Garliava 0-2 HT 0-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
26.06.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 5-2 HT 2-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Panevezys II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II nicked a narrow win over Garliava 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Garliava at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Garliava and 1.75 for Panevezys II.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Panevezys II?

Garliava 1-2 Panevezys II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Panevezys II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Garliava 52%, draw 20%, Panevezys II 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Garliava), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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