Nevezis 1-0 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2024

📅14/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.5pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.2pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-13.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 57%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.74
-76% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +42%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Riteriai
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2021 Nevezis Nevezis 0-6 HT 0-4 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
19.09.2021 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 4-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
27.05.2021 Nevezis Nevezis 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
12.04.2021 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 4-0 HT 2-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nevezis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Riteriai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nevezis and 3.50 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs FK Riteriai?

Nevezis 1-0 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Riteriai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 28%, draw 33%, FK Riteriai 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Riteriai), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Riteriai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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