Nafta 1-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

Nafta
1-2 HT 0-2
Koper
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 54%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.04
+128% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Koper
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Koper Koper 3-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-2
AWAY Koper
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper edged past Nafta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nafta had 50% of the ball to Koper's 50%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Koper?

Nafta 1-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nafta 25%, draw 29%, Koper 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ BTTS Yes
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