Celje 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 34% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.60/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.52
+42% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 HT 1-1 Celje Celje SLVN
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
0-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana squeezed past Celje 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 73% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 27%, shots finished 23-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Celje and 1.00 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Celje 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Celje 31%, draw 28%, Olimpija Ljubljana 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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