Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.36/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.25
+5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Celje
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
15.03.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
2-2
AWAY Celje
43% Ball Possession 57%
23 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Celje couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 43% of the ball to Celje's 57%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.00 for Celje.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Olimpija Ljubljana 2-2 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 40%, draw 29%, Celje 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ BTTS Yes
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