Radomlje 1-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
43%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.00/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.12
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maribor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
06.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVNK
11.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-2 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
23.07.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
18.03.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
1-1
AWAY Maribor
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomlje and Maribor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Radomlje had 42% of the ball to Maribor's 58%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radomlje and 2.00 for Maribor.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Maribor?

Radomlje 1-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 31%, draw 26%, Maribor 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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