Maribor 1-0 Radomlje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomlje EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +34%
2.18/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+22% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Radomlje
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-2 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVNK
11.12.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-2 HT 1-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
28.09.2023 Maribor Maribor 3-1 HT 0-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
23.07.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-4 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
18.03.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
06.12.2022 Maribor Maribor 7-0 HT 4-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1-0
AWAY Radomlje
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Radomlje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor squeezed past Radomlje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Maribor had 55% of the ball to Radomlje's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Radomlje.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Radomlje?

Maribor 1-0 Radomlje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Radomlje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Maribor 52%, draw 27%, Radomlje 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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