Domzale 3-5 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

Domzale
3-5 HT 0-2
Mura
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Domzale vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Domzale v Mura — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.16
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Domzale vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Mura Mura 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
27.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
22.07.2023 Mura Mura 2-3 HT 2-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
02.04.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
12.12.2022 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
01.10.2022 Domzale Domzale 2-2 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN

Domzale 3-5 Mura — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
3-5
AWAY Mura
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mura saw off Domzale 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mura found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 58% of the ball to Mura's 42%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Domzale and 1.17 for Mura.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Mura?

Domzale 3-5 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Domzale 40%, draw 28%, Mura 33%. The final score 3-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Domzale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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