Celje 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
15%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.62/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.26
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
05.11.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-4 HT 1-2 Celje Celje SLVN
06.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK
15.03.2023 Celje Celje 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
01.12.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
1-0
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje nicked a narrow win over Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celje had 48% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 52%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Celje and 0.83 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Celje 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Celje 44%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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