Rogaska 2-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rogaska EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
0.65/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.82
-49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rogaska
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Koper
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Koper Koper 1-2 HT 1-2 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
04.11.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 0-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.08.2023 Koper Koper 3-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rogaska
2-2
AWAY Koper
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rogaska vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska and Koper couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rogaska had 35% of the ball to Koper's 65%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rogaska and 1.67 for Koper.

What was the final score of Rogaska vs Koper?

Rogaska 2-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rogaska vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rogaska 36%, draw 29%, Koper 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rogaska) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rogaska) ✓ BTTS Yes
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