Iğdır FK 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 35% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.03
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.63
X/2
14%
5.21
X/X
16%
4.3
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.61
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
1-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.28 xG 1.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
225 Passes 475
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK squeezed past MKE Ankaragücü 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Iğdır FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 35% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 65%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.28 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Iğdır FK 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 34%, draw 29%, MKE Ankaragücü 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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