Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
55%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.7pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.2pp
55%
Away Win
77%
-21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 81%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+75% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
7.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.6 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.80 xG 2.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
197 Passes 322
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2022 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor T1L
27.07.2008 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor KZC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
0-2
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.09 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
252 Passes 395
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Malatyaspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor saw off Yeni Malatyaspor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Yeni Malatyaspor had 40% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 60%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.09 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Yeni Malatyaspor and 3.00 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Yeni Malatyaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Yeni Malatyaspor 0-2 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Yeni Malatyaspor 21%, draw 24%, Sakaryaspor 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
3 Nov 2024
16:00 Erzurumspor FK vs Amed SK Analysis →
19:00 Iğdır FK vs MKE Ankaragücü Analysis →