Nong Bua Pitchaya 6-1 Khonkaen Utd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Khonkaen Utd EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.18/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.84
-24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
16.1 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.60 xG 0.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
190 Passes 292
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.11.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
26.02.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 HT 1-0 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd TAY
16.10.2021 Khonkaen Utd Khonkaen Utd 1-0 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
6-1
AWAY Khonkaen Utd
3.27 xG 0.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
11 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
291 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen Utd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nong Bua Pitchaya cruised past Khonkaen Utd 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nong Bua Pitchaya as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 47% of the ball to Khonkaen Utd's 53%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 3.27 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 0.67 for Khonkaen Utd.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen Utd?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 6-1 Khonkaen Utd in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Khonkaen Utd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nong Bua Pitchaya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 46%, draw 27%, Khonkaen Utd 28%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nong Bua Pitchaya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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