Uthai Thani 2-1 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uthai Thani EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 25%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
+46% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
13.4 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uthai Thani
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2023 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 0-3 HT 0-1 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani TAY1
04.09.2022 Uthai Thani Uthai Thani 0-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uthai Thani
2-1
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.19 xG 1.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
388 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uthai Thani edged past Nakhon Pathom 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uthai Thani as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uthai Thani had 63% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 37%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.19 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Uthai Thani had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uthai Thani and 0.00 for Nakhon Pathom.

What was the final score of Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom?

Uthai Thani 2-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uthai Thani win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Uthai Thani 51%, draw 26%, Nakhon Pathom 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uthai Thani) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uthai Thani) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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