Eyüpspor 2-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.2
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
18%
4.05
X/2
10%
9.43
X/X
8%
5.23
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
7.11
2/X
9%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.89/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.64
+70% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.0 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 30
4 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 15
4 Yellow Cards 6
01.12.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TÜK
24.03.2018 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
04.11.2017 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Hatayspor Hatayspor S2-K
09.11.2016 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-3 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-K
27.01.2008 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor ASP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
2-0
AWAY Hatayspor
1.60 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
366 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 30
4 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor saw off Hatayspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 53% of the ball to Hatayspor's 47%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.60 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hatayspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eyüpspor and 1.60 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Hatayspor?

Eyüpspor 2-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 52%, draw 26%, Hatayspor 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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