Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.03
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
9%
8.38
X/2
16%
4.42
X/X
14%
4.96
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.44
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 54%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.16/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.05
+51% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
18.0 Crosses 18.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
388 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
04.11.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
18.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
24.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
06.03.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
17.10.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-3
AWAY Fenerbahçe
2.18 xG 2.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 10
221 Passes 236
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 36
30 Crosses 28
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe squeezed past Trabzonspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 48% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 52%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 2.18 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Trabzonspor 2-3 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 24%, draw 28%, Fenerbahçe 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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