Auckland City 1-2 Western Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.96
Over Pick
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
43%
4-5
27%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.4pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland City EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Springs EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
2.13/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland City
1-2
AWAY Western Springs
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auckland City vs Western Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Springs edged past Auckland City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Auckland City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auckland City had 54% of the ball to Western Springs's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Auckland City vs Western Springs?

Auckland City 1-2 Western Springs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland City vs Western Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Auckland City 48%, draw 26%, Western Springs 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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