Wellington Phoenix Res vs Western Suburbs Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix Res v Western Suburbs — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix Res 2-0 Western Suburbs — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix Res beat Western Suburbs 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Western Suburbs at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (78%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix Res had 43% of the ball to Western Suburbs's 57%, shots finished 10-20.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix Res vs Western Suburbs?
Wellington Phoenix Res 2-0 Western Suburbs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix Res vs Western Suburbs?
Before kick-off our model rated an Western Suburbs win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix Res 33%, draw 20%, Western Suburbs 47%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.