Fakel 2-0 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Nov 2025

Fakel
2-0 HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
📅03/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fakel v Torpedo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.17/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.45
+70% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.15 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
236 Passes 264
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
02.10.2022 Fakel Fakel 2-2 HT 2-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
19.03.2022 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.09.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-2 HT 0-2 Fakel Fakel RUS1
08.05.2021 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.11.2020 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 4-1 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS1

Fakel 2-0 Torpedo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
2-0
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel got the better of Torpedo Moscow 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fakel as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fakel had 71% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 29%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fakel and 1.83 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow?

Fakel 2-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fakel 49%, draw 27%, Torpedo Moscow 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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