Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Nov 2025

📅03/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.13
No
47%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
43%
+10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
57%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -25%
1.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.12
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.30 xG 1.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 302
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-1 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
29.07.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
16.12.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
07.11.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS
25.04.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
1-2
AWAY Arsenal Tula
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula nicked a narrow win over Rotor Volgograd 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Rotor Volgograd at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 56% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 44%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 0.80 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?

Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 03/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 42%, draw 28%, Arsenal Tula 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rotor Volgograd), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
3 Nov 2025
14:00 FK Ufa vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →
17:00 Chayka vs KAMAZ Analysis →
18:30 Fakel vs Torpedo Moscow Analysis →
18:30 Neftekhimik vs SKA Khabarovsk Analysis →