Arsenal Tula 1-1 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.7pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.44/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.15
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.46 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
16.12.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
07.11.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS
25.04.2014 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-1
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and Rotor Volgograd shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Tula at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 69% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 31%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.75 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Arsenal Tula 1-1 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 42%, draw 26%, Rotor Volgograd 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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