Tyumen 1-0 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
0.80/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.96
-31% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 3-0 HT 2-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
20.04.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-3 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
28.10.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-2 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-0
AWAY Neftekhimik
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen squeezed past Neftekhimik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tyumen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tyumen had 59% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 41%, shots finished 12-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tyumen and 2.00 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Neftekhimik?

Tyumen 1-0 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 36%, draw 31%, Neftekhimik 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tyumen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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