Neftekhimik 3-0 Tyumen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tyumen EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.10/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.17
-17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Tyumen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 0-3 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
28.10.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-2 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
3-0
AWAY Tyumen
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Tyumen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik cruised past Tyumen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftekhimik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 40% of the ball to Tyumen's 60%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.00 for Tyumen.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Tyumen?

Neftekhimik 3-0 Tyumen in the Russia - FNL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Tyumen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 45%, draw 28%, Tyumen 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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