Shinnik 0-1 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.95/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.49
-35% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2022 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUK
15.03.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
0-1
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd squeezed past Shinnik 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Rotor Volgograd made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Shinnik had 62% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 38%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rotor Volgograd led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shinnik and 1.00 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Rotor Volgograd?

Shinnik 0-1 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 37%, draw 31%, Rotor Volgograd 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shinnik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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