Chayka 1-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.27/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.55
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
1-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and Sokol Saratov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Chayka had 58% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 42%, shots finished 24-8.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Sokol Saratov?

Chayka 1-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chayka 37%, draw 33%, Sokol Saratov 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chayka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chayka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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