Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 KAMAZ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 27%
+12% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
2.14/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.23
+52% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY KAMAZ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2024 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
28.10.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
06.05.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
14.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
30.04.2022 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
13.10.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
2-1
AWAY KAMAZ
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs KAMAZ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk squeezed past KAMAZ 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yenisey Krasnoyarsk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 55% of the ball to KAMAZ's 45%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 0.67 for KAMAZ.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs KAMAZ?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-1 KAMAZ in the Russia - FNL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs KAMAZ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 47%, draw 28%, KAMAZ 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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