Ural 2-0 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.8pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 321
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
22.10.2023 Ural Ural 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
03.06.2023 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
30.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
20.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUK
31.08.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-0
AWAY FC Sochi
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural got the better of FC Sochi 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Ural made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 48% of the ball to FC Sochi's 52%, shots finished 6-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ural and 1.67 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of Ural vs FC Sochi?

Ural 2-0 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ural 39%, draw 28%, FC Sochi 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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