FC Sochi 2-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.61
X/2
9%
6.42
X/X
13%
3.95
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
13%
5.05
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.42/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.2 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sochi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ural
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 309
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Ural Ural 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
03.06.2023 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
30.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 1-1 Ural Ural RUS
20.10.2022 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-3 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUK
31.08.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
27.11.2021 Ural Ural 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sochi
2-2
AWAY Ural
0.76 xG 1.03
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 175
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sochi vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi and Ural couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sochi at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sochi had 65% of the ball to Ural's 35%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.76 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Sochi and 1.67 for Ural.

What was the final score of FC Sochi vs Ural?

FC Sochi 2-2 Ural in the Russia - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sochi vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Sochi 43%, draw 28%, Ural 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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