Rostov vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rostov v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals
Rostov vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Rostov
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Rostov
RUS
4-2
HT 2-1
Spartak Moskova
RUS
3-2
HT 1-1
Spartak Moskova
RUS
1-1
HT 0-0
Rostov
RUS
Rostov 1-5 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova swept aside Rostov 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rostov had 54% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 46%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.74 to 2.11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rostov and 1.33 for Spartak Moskova.
What was the final score of Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?
Rostov 1-5 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rostov 43%, draw 29%, Spartak Moskova 28%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.