Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1-4 HT 0-2
Dinamo Moscow
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.99
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
18%
6.97
X/2
12%
4.77
X/X
8%
4.53
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.91
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.7
Value flag · 2/X at 12.7 — our 12% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.42
+5% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
16.4 Crosses 14.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 413
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
15.09.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
25.07.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
15.04.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 3-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
27.08.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 HT 0-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
09.04.2022 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside Pari Nizhny Novgorod 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Dinamo Moscow made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.67 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-4 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 35%, draw 29%, Dinamo Moscow 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5
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